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Gundou is so beautiful
Folks, we got to chapter 171, up from 124 last week. This is a very slightly slower pace than previous episodes. It is now highly unlikely they will rush to the end of the series, but still unclear where exactly the season will end.
TLDR
Since the summer festival is confirmed by the opening, anywhere from ch 517 is possible. Averaging the chapters per episode gets us to ch 684 but this is near impossible story-wise. Getting around this means either excluding the middle-school past arc, and ending episode 12 on ch 667 (<- more likely option), or having a 13th episode to end said arc on ch 722 (<- less likely). Considering that there is a grand total of 953 chapters in this already-concluded manga, it will in either case make a second season difficult, both for directing and for budgeting purposes.