There seems to be a real prospect that coalitions will become a new reality at all levels of government in South Africa. It is not just the polls indicating that the ANC could receive less than 50% of the vote; a flurry of activity on both the government and opposition sides of the political spectrum is currently unfolding. An all-party workshop was convened by Deputy President Paul Mashatile to discuss national coalitions and opposition leaders – the Economic Freedom Fighters have not been invited – are holding a national convention this week to try to find agreement on a coalition that could shift the power balance in the country.In an interview with BizNews, TK Pooe, a senior lecturer, called for the establishment of a Kenyan-style coalition mechanism or vehicle with an all-star cabinet predetermined before the 2024 elections. Pooe says that South Africans are cynical; they want to know what a coalition would entail before casting their votes. Regarding the matter of who within the ANC would decide on potential coalitions, Pooe says that President Ramaphosa holds the cards and is in the camp that does not favour governing with the EFF. However, the ANC in Gauteng seems to be operating on a different planet, he says and would do anything to survive. If the ANC receives less than 50% of the vote in 2024, Pooe believes that it would mark the end of Ramaphosa’s presidency and pave the way for Deputy President Paul Mashatile, who is not opposed to collaborating with the EFF. – Linda van Tilburg
Video production by Asime Nyide
Your early morning brew of the BizNews Insider keeps you up to speed with the content that matters. The newsletter will land in your inbox at 5:30am weekdays. Register here – https://bit.ly/3lfVRYP.
—
Timestamps
00:10 – Introductions
01:00 – Tk Pooe on the all party workshop and what he thinks this means for the ANC
01:51 – The disruption caused by smaller parties
03:01 – Why the ANC wants a threshold
04:26 – The differing factions within the ANC
05:58 – The likelihood that the ANC loses power on national level
07:14 – The likelihood that Paul Mashatile will work with the EFF post 2024
07:53 – The National Convention coming up
10:31 – Who could be the leader of the opposition coalition if it comes together
11:51 – The likeliness of the IFP president being the leader of the coalition
13:06 – On the need for Kenyan style coalitions
18:28 – On the likeliness of ANC dropping below 50% in the elections
21:19 – Conclusions
ANC to get between 48-52% according Fran's Cronje.
Good interview
Good interview indeed.
Great interview. The guy is very good at analyzing and provides a good balanced view. He's going far.
elect shadow cabinet before elections, and neutral president on your election posters
A neutral black president for the moonshot pact SA we can't go wrong
Great interview young man.
Kenya style coalitions or cabinets are not necessarily "all star". Kenya has regional kingpins who represent different tribes and they link up with others every election.
how happy i will be once this election is over and ANC & EFF in coalition
Talking rubbish he ia an EFF
Every democracy needs a strong opposition to keep the ruling in check. The coalition idea is a good one. We have way too many parties.
If an IFP/DA coalition gets KZN, DA keeps WC, and maybe a DA coalition takes Gauteng, I will be very happy. I would love a coalition govt to take the whole country but I don’t see it happening if the DA and PA cannot make amends. Hoping for a better KZN.